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Global market outlook: Fed minutes, UK inflation, RBNZ & key economic data

This week is packed with market-moving events, from the Federal Reserve’s July minutes to inflation reports across Europe and Asia, alongside fresh policy decisions from New Zealand and China.

18 Aug 2025, 08:26
FOMC Minutes

Pound extends winning streak as UK growth beats forecasts

Sterling outperforms G-10 peers for a sixth day against the euro and hits its strongest level in a month versus the dollar after UK GDP surprises to the upside.

14 Aug 2025, 09:11
UK Economy

US core CPI jumps in July, pressuring Fed rate cut hopes

July’s inflation data showed the fastest monthly rise in core consumer prices since January, led by a rebound in services and vehicle costs, while tariff-related price pressures eased.

13 Aug 2025, 07:26
US - Inflation

Trump extends China tariff truce for 90 days, easing trade war fears

The White House’s move delays a planned tariff hike on Chinese goods until November, giving Washington and Beijing more time to resolve disputes on rare earths, energy imports, and technology exports.

12 Aug 2025, 08:54
China

Powell stays cautious as Fed holds rates

With the Fed holding rates steady, the real message came from Powell’s tone: no easing until the White House provides clarity on trade. Monetary policy, for now, is in wait-and-see mode—just like the markets.

8 May 2025, 06:29
FED meeting (FOMC) 3

Fed minutes reveal debate over rate cut

Several members cited labor market concerns and inflation progress as reasons to consider easing policy

22 Aug 2024, 10:33
FOMC Minutes

US employment report shows labour demand stalling

A soft set of employment numbers from the US this afternoon and which leaves the Fed looking precariously behind the curve policy-wise.

2 Aug 2024, 15:19
USNFP2Aug

BoE surprises with an interest rate cut

The BoE showed an increased willingness to tolerate data misses and vote to cut interest rates today. But going forward, the pace of monetary loosening to come looks set to be slow and gradual.

1 Aug 2024, 13:06
BoE1August

Euro-area Q2 growth beats expectations

Today's reading shows an unchanged pace of growth compared to Q1. But the ECB will still find itself under pressure to cut rates again in September.

30 Jul 2024, 12:32
EUGDP30July

US Q2 GDP report rules out the small chance of a July interest rate cut

Although the main factors behind today's better GDP numbers look unsustainable going forward, the report should put to bed the suggestions made recently that the Fed should cut interest rates this month.

25 Jul 2024, 14:58
USGDP25July