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US CPI report gives the Fed the green light to start cutting interest rates

Today's report showed disinflationary pressures to be widespread across the US economy. Reasons for the Fed to delay cutting rates are becoming few and far between.

11 Jul 2024, 15:05
US CPI report gives the Fed the green light to start cutting interest rates

US PCE numbers suggest underlying inflation is still heading lower

But while providing assurance to the Fed that inflationary pressures remain on a downwards path, further evidence of this will be needed before the FOMC will commit to cutting interest rates.

31 May 2024, 15:17
US PCE numbers suggest underlying inflation is still heading lower

UK CPI figures for April disappoint, despite continuing to move in the right direction

Despite both the headline and core rates moving lower, stubborn services sector pricing derails hopes of a June interest rate cut.

22 May 2024, 11:54
UK CPI figures for April disappoint, despite continuing to move in the right direction

Softer CPI and retail sales numbers from the US put a September rate cut back in play

A sigh of relief in the markets as the CPI numbers came in on the soft side, although the weak retail sales numbers will be of concern.

15 May 2024, 14:56
Softer CPI and retail sales numbers from the US put a September rate cut back in play

Understanding UK consumer reluctance amid economic shifts

Despite rising disposable incomes, UK consumers remain reluctant spenders, possibly in anticipation of an expected higher tax burden to come.

7 May 2024, 09:41
Understanding UK consumer reluctance amid economic shifts

FOMC message is that rate cuts remain on the table, but with less certainty on when they will ultimately be delivered

In the meantime, market 'buy-in' to the Fed's message is showing signs of weakening

2 May 2024, 11:21
FOMC message is that rate cuts remain on the table, but with less certainty on when they will ultimately be delivered

UK public borrowing soars: fiscal year ends higher than forecast

UK government borrowing overshot forecasts for the 2023/24 fiscal year

23 Apr 2024, 10:57
UK public borrowing soars: fiscal year ends higher than forecast

A disappointing UK inflation report for the Bank of England

Today's report will not see the Monetary Policy Committee feeling there is any need to cut interest rates yet.

17 Apr 2024, 11:38
A disappointing UK inflation report for the Bank of England

UK posts flat retail sales growth in February; but outlook for consumer spending remains bright

Consumer spending remains in a better position at that start of 2024 than had been expected, despite today's figures

22 Mar 2024, 11:48
UK posts flat retail sales growth in February; but outlook for consumer spending remains bright

UK economy ends 2023 in recession

A broad based fall in activity leaves the UK economy floundering

15 Feb 2024, 12:04
UK economy ends 2023 in recession