Global Macro Analysis

Economic outlook for the UK - Q2 2024

Economic outlook for the US - Q2 2024

How global elections will affect investment opportunities

Is the US inflation genie at risk of escaping its bottle again?

Economic outlook for the UK - Q1 2024

The economic outlook for the UK looks challenging, with growth set to remain constrained by high interest rates and the on-going squeeze from a still tightening fiscal policy.

Fed using rising term premiums to keep interest rates on hold

The Fed is using an increase in the term premium as a reason for keeping interest rates on hold. It is a potentially dangerous strategy.

Australia's Q4 outlook 2023

The RBA may ease policy and possibly cut rates in 2024 to counter the impact of previous monetary tightening on domestic consumption.

Bank of Japan to keep negative interest rates

Navigating inflation nuances and economic signals for Q4 in Japan

H2 2023 outlook for the United Kingdom

H2 2023 outlook for the United States