Trade Reviews

Professional and technical analysis on products and past trades

Euro finds itself caught between the ECB and the Dollar

The ECB has done enough to keep September's rate hike almost fully priced, but that has not translated into a stronger euro. Instead, the currency is being pulled by a different force: U.S. bond yields are rising again, oil has become another tailwind for the dollar, and Kevin Warsh has shifted the conversation back toward the Federal Reserve's inflation credibility.

Brent crude rises as renewed US-Iran attacks heighten geopolitical risks

Renewed US–Iran strikes have pushed Brent crude above $90 per barrel, heightening energy supply and inflation concerns whilst elevating Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and pushing 10-year US Treasury yields higher.

Fed's Kevin Warsh keeps door open to further rate hikes; Nasdaq retreats

The Nasdaq fell by 0.70% as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh elevated expectations of a rate hike in September, driving US Treasury yields and the US dollar higher.

Week ahead: bond markets took control. Now jobs data gets the final say

The market spent this week chasing a different driver almost every day. Inflation refused to cool enough for the Federal Reserve to relax, Europe moved closer to another rate hike, and oil stopped trading purely on war headlines. By Friday, one thing became clear. Markets have entered a phase where bond markets are setting the pace, while next week's labour-market data could decide whether central banks keep tightening or finally gain room to wait.

German consumer confidence improves on strong income expectations; Euro holds steady

German consumer confidence has improved, driven by rising income expectations. Although the index remains in negative territory, the result signals a potential economic recovery while the Euro holds steady.

AUD/USD advances as inflation exceeds market expectations

The AUD/USD pair rose to 0.7174 after Australian inflation decelerated less than expected to 3.5%.

WTI Oil outlook: is the Hormuz risk Premium finally fading?

For months, traders were focused on how much supply could disappear if the Strait of Hormuz remained locked in crisis. Now the conversation is shifting toward how much of that fear was already priced into crude. Brent has pulled back from recent highs as diplomatic progress around Hormuz, a softer U.S. inventory picture and a more measured sanctions approach from Washington have started changing expectations. None of those developments has solved the broader conflict with Iran.

German Ifo business climate improves strongly; Euro advances

Germany's Ifo Business Climate Index surged to 88.8 points in August 2026, outperforming market expectations and prompting a modest appreciation in the euro as both business expectations and current economic conditions improved significantly.

US-Canada bilateral tariffs weigh on the Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar depreciated by 0.57% against the US dollar following bilateral US-Canada tariff threats.

Silver’s next move may depend on the $70 breakout

The comparison with 2011 is not about repeating the same price action. It is about the same question returning to the market: what happens when confidence in Washington's debt strategy begins to weaken? That question carries more weight today than it did fifteen years ago. U.S. debt has climbed from roughly $14.8 trillion in 2011 to more than $40 trillion, and policymakers are once again looking for ways to ease pressure on government borrowing costs.