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US jobs report preview: Slowing growth may push Fed closer to rate cuts

The August 2025 non-farm payrolls report is expected to confirm a weakening US labor market, with forecasts of +75,000 jobs and unemployment rising to 4.3%. A soft reading could strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this month, with significant implications for the dollar, equities, and gold.

Fed’s Waller backs September rate cut, signals more easing ahead

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he supports a quarter-point rate cut in September and anticipates more reductions over the next three to six months, citing rising labor market risks. His remarks come as political pressure on the Fed intensifies following President Trump’s attempt to oust Governor Lisa Cook.

Powell opens door to interest rate cut

Jerome Powell used his final Jackson Hole appearance as Fed chair to hint at a possible rate cut in September, but divisions inside the central bank, political pressure from Washington, and sticky inflation leave the path uncertain.

Japan charts a steady rate-hike course as inflation sticks at elevated levels

July’s CPI data in Japan show a modest slowdown in headline inflation, but underlying pressures—especially core-core and processed food prices—remain firm, reinforcing the Bank of Japan’s path toward further tightening in October.

Powell’s Jackson Hole finale may spark a yield curve shakeup

Jerome Powell’s last appearance at Jackson Hole as Fed chair could shift market expectations on rates, with the risk of a sharp repricing in front-end Treasury yields.

Fed minutes, UK inflation, and RBNZ decision set the tone for a pivotal week

This week is packed with market-moving events, from the Federal Reserve’s July minutes to inflation reports across Europe and Asia, alongside fresh policy decisions from New Zealand and China.

Pound extends winning streak as UK growth beats forecasts

Sterling outperforms G-10 peers for a sixth day against the euro and hits its strongest level in a month versus the dollar after UK GDP surprises to the upside.

US core CPI jumps in July, pressuring Fed cut hopes

July’s inflation data showed the fastest monthly rise in core consumer prices since January, led by a rebound in services and vehicle costs, while tariff-related price pressures eased.

Trump extends China tariff truce for 90 days, easing trade war fears

The White House’s move delays a planned tariff hike on Chinese goods until November, giving Washington and Beijing more time to resolve disputes on rare earths, energy imports, and technology exports.

Powell stays cautious as Fed holds rates

With the Fed holding rates steady, the real message came from Powell’s tone: no easing until the White House provides clarity on trade. Monetary policy, for now, is in wait-and-see mode—just like the markets.