Trade Reviews

Professional and technical analysis on products and past trades

EUR/USD technical outlook: can 1.1190–1.1200 hold?

France is entering 2027 with a record €340 billion bond issuance requirement, public debt projected at 121.7% of GDP and a minority government trying to deliver a politically difficult fiscal adjustment. The problem for markets is no longer simply whether France has too much debt, it is whether the government has the political capacity to stabilise it.

Euro falls amid growing concerns over France’s government debt

The euro dropped to a low not seen since May 2025, weighed down by surging French bond yields and hawkish rate expectations from the Federal Reserve.

S&P 500 advances to record levels despite market uncertainty

The S&P 500 has reached record highs, driven by AI investment and expectations of strong corporate earnings, despite sticky inflation and elevated US Treasury yields.

US jobs report weakens fed October hike fades as DXY targets 103

The September US jobs report delivered a much weaker labour-market signal than expected, sharply reducing the case for an October rate hike while leaving the Fed with enough inflation risk to keep December firmly in play.

Week Ahead: stronger US growth meets softer inflation and weak labour market

The US rate story has become harder to trade in one direction. Inflation is easing, but growth is stronger than previously thought and the labour market is still showing limited signs of stress. Europe faces the opposite problem; energy is pushing inflation higher just as consumer momentum remains fragile.

Brent rises as renewed US-Iran tensions fuel supply concerns

Brent crude climbed above $102 following US troop deployments and escalating rhetoric with Iran, raising fears of Middle Eastern supply disruptions.

Can WTI reclaim 93.43 and return toward 100?

Recent estimates show crude flows through the Gulf and Hormuz corridor have climbed back toward 13 million barrels a day, with Saudi Arabia driving much of the recovery. Saudi exports increased as the kingdom shifted more shipments back toward Gulf terminals after attacks disrupted alternative routes through the Red Sea.

Nasdaq holds above 30,000 despite 5.2% treasury yields: what comes next?

The US 10-year Treasury yield has pushed above 5.2%, while the 10-year real yield has climbed to around 2.9%, its highest level in years. Yet Nasdaq has remained relatively resilient, supported by strong earnings and continued AI investment. On September 29, Nasdaq slipped only 0.1% even as the 10-year yield reached 5.25%.

Dollar index advances as US 30-year Treasury yields reach multi-year highs

Rising US 30-year Treasury yields and sticky inflation expectations are driving capital into the greenback, pushing the US Dollar Index higher.

Silver under pressure as treasury yields rise: can 60.95 hold?

US Treasury yields climb above 5.2% and traders’ price roughly a 70% probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October. That is weighing on silver investment flows, with silver ETFs showing renewed outflows. At the same time, China is tightening the framework governing silver exports, creating a potential constraint on physical supply.