Recession concerns drag Wall Street lower
Wall Street plunged as recession fears deepened, the euro hit a four-month high, and geopolitical tensions escalated with stalled U.S.-China trade talks and Ukraine's latest drone strike on Russia.
Investor concerns grew over weak economic data and trade policy uncertainties.
President Trump described the economy as in "transition," failing to reassure markets.
Geopolitical tensions remain high as U.S.-China trade talks stall and Ukraine intensifies strikes on Russia.
U.S. stocks slide as economic fears mount
Wall Street saw its steepest decline in months on Monday, as growing concerns over a potential U.S. recession triggered a sharp selloff. The S&P 500 fell 2.7%, its worst one-day drop since December 18, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq tumbled 4.0%, marking its largest single-day percentage loss since September 2022.
Investor sentiment deteriorated following a string of weaker economic data, which some analysts attribute to ongoing trade policy uncertainties. Market jitters intensified after comments from the White House suggested potential economic headwinds in the months ahead.
In a televised interview on Sunday, President Donald Trump described the current economic climate as a “period of transition.” When asked about the possibility of a recession, he stopped short of making a definitive prediction but acknowledged that “disruption” could occur. His remarks failed to ease investor concerns over slowing growth.
The bond market, often viewed as a key recession gauge, has also been flashing warning signals. The U.S. 10-year to 2-year Treasury yield curve, which inverted in mid-2022—a historically reliable precursor to economic downturns—turned positive again in September 2024. Analysts note that recessions typically follow within months of such a reversal, raising fears that the U.S. economy may be on the brink of a slowdown.
Euro rallies to four-month high
The euro climbed to a four-month peak against the U.S. dollar, rising 5% in March to trade at $1.09. The rally was fueled by expectations of stronger economic growth in the Eurozone, supported by increased government spending on infrastructure and defense by the bloc’s largest economies. European equities also advanced, buoyed by renewed investor confidence.
Geopolitical and trade uncertainty looms
Russian President Vladimir Putin remains unwilling to compromise on key demands regarding territory, peacekeeping forces, and Ukraine’s neutrality in any potential peace negotiations, Western security officials said. Meanwhile, top U.S. and Ukrainian officials met in Saudi Arabia on Monday following Kyiv’s largest drone offensive against Russian targets since the conflict began.
On the trade front, negotiations between the U.S. and China have stalled, sources familiar with the discussions said. Beijing is seeking a comprehensive framework before President Xi Jinping engages in direct talks with President Trump, while Washington rejects claims that its demands on fentanyl trade controls have been unclear.