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Cardano faces renewed pressure as whales reduce exposure

Cardano’s is entering a more fragile phase as on-chain data and derivatives positioning both point toward rising bearish sentiment. After attempting to stabilize in recent weeks, the asset is now facing renewed selling pressure driven largely by large-wallet holders reducing their exposure.

16h ago

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  • Large wallets have been offloaded around 260 million tokens since February 24.

  • ADA’s funding rate flipped negatively at -0.009%.

  • Cardano appears to be in a consolidation-to-correction phase.

Whales pressure

Santiment’s Supply Distribution data, whale cohorts have been steadily trimming their holdings. Wallets holding between 100,000 and 1 million ADA, 1 million and 10 million ADA, and even the largest tier between 10 million and 100 million ADA have collectively offloaded around 260 million tokens since February 24. That scale of distribution is meaningful, as it reflects strategic repositioning rather than retail-driven volatility. When large holders reduce exposure simultaneously, it typically increases downside liquidity and weighs on price stability.

The selling from whales not only adds direct supply to the market but can also influence sentiment. Smaller investors often interpret sustained large-holder distribution as a sign of caution regarding short-term price prospects. This dynamic can amplify momentum moves once technical levels begin to break.

ADA Supply

Source: Santiment

Derivatives market confirms bearish tilt

Funding rate data in the futures market reinforces this cautious outlook. ADA’s funding rate flipped negatively on Monday and currently stands at -0.009%. A negative funding rate means short traders are paying long traders, reflecting stronger demand for short positions. In practical terms, more traders are betting on downside continuation than on a rebound.

While the rate is not deeply negative, the shift itself is notable. Funding flips often mark changes in sentiment momentum. If the negative rate persists or deepens, it will signal growing conviction among bearish traders.

ADA fuding rates

Source: Coinglass

Broader market environment and outlook

Cardano’s current weakness also aligns with broader crypto market sensitivity to macro factors. Rising US Treasury yields, a firm US dollar, and cautious Federal Reserve messaging have pressured risk assets, including altcoins. In this environment, capital often rotates into larger-cap cryptocurrencies or exits the market entirely during uncertainty.

Unlike Bitcoin, which often benefits from institutional narratives, ADA remains more sentiment-driven and community-oriented, making it more sensitive to shifts in speculative positioning.

In the near term, the combination of whale distribution and negative funding rates tilts the balance slightly bearish. If large holders continue trimming positions and derivatives sentiment remains negative, ADA could face additional downward pressure.

That said, the medium-term trajectory will depend on whether accumulation returns at lower levels. A stabilization in whale activity, combined with improving funding rates and stronger network activity metrics, would be early signs of recovery.

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