Nvidia shares slip despite strong Q1 revenue growth and solid Q2 outlook

Nvidia Corporation’s shares declined by 1.77% to close at $219.51, despite the company exceeding first-quarter fiscal expectations with $81.61 billion in revenue and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87. Alongside these robust financial results, the semiconductor giant demonstrated significant year-on-year growth and announced a substantial $80 billion shares buyback program.

By Daniel Mejía

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NVIDIA_ART_May21
  • Nvidia recorded $81.61 billion in revenue—marking 85% year-on-year growth—and an EPS of $1.87, outperforming analyst consensus estimates while providing a strong revenue outlook for the second quarter.

  • The company announced an $80 billion stock repurchase program, which emphasizes its aggressive capital return framework.

  • Although Nvidia’s shares maintain a solid long-term bullish trajectory, trading comfortably above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, momentum oscillators signal a potential short-term retracement or consolidation phase.

Nvidia reports prominent YoY growth in revenue and EPS alongside solid Q2 outlook

Nvidia Corporation’s shares retreated by 1.77% to settle at $219.51 at the market close, experiencing a minor setback despite delivering solid first-quarter earnings results and an optimistic second-quarter perspective.The company surpassed analyst expectations for both total revenue and earnings per share (EPS) in its Q1 financial statement. The semiconductor leader achieved revenue of $81.61 billion, slightly ahead of the wall street consensus forecast of $78.91 billion. Concurrently, Nvidia reported an EPS of $1.87, beating the estimated $1.75.

These figures represent a remarkable year-on-year (YoY) growth rate of 85% in total revenue and a 123% YoY surge in EPS. In addition to the strong quarterly report, Nvidia forecasted second-quarter revenue above market expectations and announced a massive $80 billion share repurchase scheme—as reported by Reuters.

The trend illustrated in Figure 1 highlights a prominent, steep expansion in revenue and net income, a trajectory established primarily since Q1 2023. Nvidia’s annualized revenue growth rate has consistently remained above 50% and has strengthened significantly since Q2 2025 to reach its current 85%. While sustaining such elevated growth rates may present structural challenges as industry competition intensifies and market share gradually rebalances, the data suggests Nvidia’s structural dominance within the semiconductor ecosystem.

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Figure 1. Nvidia’s Revenue, Net Income, and Revenue Growth Rate (2025–2026). Source: Own analysis using data from the Nasdaq Exchange.

Technical analysis of Nvidia’s share price

From a technical perspective, Nvidia's primary long-term trend remains fundamentally bullish. A closer inspection of the current market structure reveals several key nuances:

  • Trend Context: Over an extended horizon, Nvidia retains a healthy bullish market structure characterized by a disciplined sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Shares continue to trade comfortably above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). Nevertheless, short-term momentum indicators suggest caution as they trade into overbought territory.
  • Resistance Levels: Should the current record high at $235 be breached, the next major technical ceiling is the key psychological milestone of $250. A decisive breakout above this level would signal a shift into a new phase of price discovery.
  • Support Levels: If the immediate short-term support at $210 is invalidated, the next structural floor is identified at $190, a critical convergence zone for both the 100-day and 200-day SMAs. A breach of this $190 cushion would significantly elevate the probability of a deeper market correction, potentially targeting the secondary support cluster around $165.
  • Momentum Indicators: Both the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are tracking within overbought zones, indicating that a short-term retracement or an extended consolidation phase could take place. Notably, the MACD is currently printing a bearish crossover from historically elevated levels, confirming diminishing short-term buying pressure.

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Figure 2. Nvidia’s Share Price (2025–2026). Source: Data from the Nasdaq Exchange; Own analysis conducted via TradingView.

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